This estimation is based on R number – The R number is the number of people that each person with Covid-19 is capable of infecting the other person.
If this number exceeds one, the number of people infected with the virus will increase exponentially-but as long as it remains below one, the number of people infected with the virus will continue to fall.
In Wales, the most recent estimate of the reproduction number of the pandemic modeling body SPI(M) by the UK Government is between 0.5 and 0.9.
Due to the low number of cases, the estimation of R is now shown as a range without a central estimate on the website of the Welsh Government.
These pointers are intended to spot spikes before Wales needs to return into a full lockdown.
Welsh Government wellbeing specialists will utilize different sorts of information to settle on a choice. These are isolated into circuit breakers and early admonition pointers.
Early admonition markers are bits of information that let the Welsh Government realize that a spike in cases could be in transit.
Circuit breakers are focuses where a prompt lockdown would be requested.